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2024-12-14 01:01:09

Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: the data is in line with expectations, and there may be four interest rate cuts next year. Brian Jacobsen, chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, said: "There is nothing unexpected in the CPI report, and everything is in line with expectations. Housing cost is still the main driver of inflation. With the employment report and inflation report, nothing can stop the Fed from cutting interest rates by 25 basis points next week. What will be exciting is the summary of the Fed's economic forecast. There may be four interest rate cuts in 2025, and inflation will eventually fall to the target level. "The Ministry of Finance successfully issued the sixth issue of RMB 6 billion treasury bonds in 2024 in Hong Kong. On December 11th, the Ministry of Finance of People's Republic of China (PRC) issued the sixth issue of RMB 6 billion treasury bonds in 2024 in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region for institutional investors, which was widely welcomed by investors, with a subscription multiple of 3.58 times. Among them, the two-year (additional issuance) is 2 billion yuan, and the issue price is 100.62 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.70%; 3-year (additional issuance) 2 billion yuan, the issue price is 101.28 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.70%; 5-year (additional issuance) 2 billion yuan, the issue price is 102.41 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.80%.CPOPC: The price of palm oil is expected to fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 in 2025. It is reported that the Council of Palm Oil Producers (CPOPC) predicts that the price of palm oil may fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 per ton in 2025, driven by the stagnant production in major markets, especially Indonesia and Malaysia. Deputy Secretary-General CPOPC pointed out that the current price level around RM5,000 per ton may be temporary, mainly affected by the continuous floods in Malaysia, which boosted the bullish sentiment in the market. Due to the aging plantations, unpredictable weather and limited expansion to new plantations, it is expected that the cessation of production will tighten global supply and further push up prices.


South Korea's tourism industry has been hit, and the mayor of Seoul promised to ensure the safety of tourists. Recently, South Korea's tourism industry has been hit by the emergency martial law storm, and many hotels and travel agencies have been unsubscribed. Seoul Mayor SE HUN promised to take measures to ensure the safety of tourists on the 11th and urged foreign tourists to visit Seoul. SE HUN said at the meeting that a large number of people gathered near Gwanghwamun and Ruyi Island in Seoul recently, but the related activities were generally peaceful and no safety accidents occurred. According to him, Seoul's safety standards are still quite high. (Xinhua News Agency)Huayuan Real Estate: It is planned to transfer the assets and liabilities related to real estate development business to Huayuan Group, the controlling shareholder of the company. Huayuan Real Estate announced the change, and the company is planning major asset sales and related transactions. It is planned to transfer the assets and liabilities related to real estate development business to Huayuan Group, the controlling shareholder of the company, that is, the company plans to transfer 100% equity of Huayuan Real Estate. As of the evaluation benchmark date (April 30, 2024), the company's receivables from Huayuan Real Estate and its subsidiaries are as follows.The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.


The European Stoxx 600 Bank Stock Index hit a new high since August 2015, up 0.27%.Shangwei Co., Ltd.: Received the Supervision Letter jointly submitted by independent directors. Shangwei Co., Ltd. announced on the evening of December 11 that the company received the Supervision Letter jointly submitted by independent directors on the same day. The independent directors of the company attached great importance to the recovery progress of the occupied funds and the standardized operation of the company.OPEC Monthly Report: Russia slightly cut its oil production in November. On Wednesday, OPEC quoted data from second-hand sources as saying that Russia's crude oil production in November decreased slightly by 0.7 million barrels per day to about 8.99 million barrels per day. This is basically consistent with Russia's monthly production quota of 8.98 million barrels under the OPEC+agreement (including voluntary production reduction). Russia promised to cut production in October and November this year and from March to September next year to make up for the excess production since April. The output of Iraq and Kazakhstan has also been higher than the target, and they also promised to further reduce production to compensate for their excess production.

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